IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF prediction

IFK Goteborg have won ten, drawn eight and lost nine of their 27 Allsvenskan games so far, scoring 36 and letting in 46. That has them 9th on 38 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, three draws and two defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Hacken away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Djurgarden and a 1-1 draw away at GAIS.

IFK Goteborg haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 1 conceded).

So far in the Allsvenskan, Malmo FF have won 12, drawn four and lost 11 of 27, with 42 goals scored and 36 conceded, good for 7th place and 40 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Hammarby at home; before that came a 3-0 win away at Halmstad and a goalless draw away at Elfsborg.

Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 0 conceded).

There isn't much between IFK Goteborg's home form and Malmo FF's away form. Two points separate the two sides in the table. Malmo FF also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make IFK Goteborg favourites at 40%, with Malmo FF on 33% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, IFK Goteborg still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.3 for IFK Goteborg and 1.5 for Malmo FF. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 53%. When they last met, on 12 Jul 2026, Malmo FF won 4-0.