Bournemouth vs Leeds United prediction

Bournemouth have won three, drawn three and lost three of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 14 and letting in 13. That has them 7th on 12 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, no draws and one defeat, at 2.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Aston Villa 3-0 at home; before that came a 3-0 win away at Manchester United and a 3-0 win at home to AC Milan.

Bournemouth are unbeaten in five. They have scored in each of their last six. Five clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won four of four recently (11 scored, 0 conceded). A. Scott (thigh injury), A. Toth (muscle injury) and J. Araujo (thigh injury) are all unavailable.

So far in the Premier League, Leeds United have won two, drawn five and lost two of nine, with 9 goals scored and 8 conceded, good for 11th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Sunderland; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Manchester United and a 2-1 defeat away at Arsenal.

Leeds United haven't won in four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 8 conceded). A. Stach (foot injury), D. James (back injury) and J. Rodon (muscle injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Bournemouth: Bournemouth have won four of their last four at home, Leeds United none of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Bournemouth also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Bournemouth clear favourites at 53%, with Leeds United on 23% and the draw at 24%.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 2.2 for Bournemouth and 0.9 for Leeds United. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 52%. Their last meeting, on 22 Apr 2026, finished 2-2.