Milan vs Bologna prediction

Milan have won six, drawn three and lost one of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 21 and letting in 12. That has them 5th on 21 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Udinese 2-0 away; before that came a 3-0 defeat away at Bournemouth and a 3-2 win at home to Atalanta.

Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of two recently (6 scored, 2 conceded). A. Rabiot (calf injury), A. Saelemaekers (ankle injury) and D. Moreira (thigh injury), plus four others, are all unavailable.

So far in the Serie A, Bologna have won four, drawn two and lost four of ten, with 14 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 9th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Cagliari 2-0 away; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to Inter Milan and a 2-1 win away at Lecce.

They have scored in each of their last four. On the road they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 2 conceded). E. Holm (thigh injury), R. Orsolini (thigh injury) and R. Piccoli (hamstring injury) are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Milan: Milan have won two of their last two at home, Bologna two of their last three on the road. Seven points separate the two sides in the table. Milan also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Milan clear favourites at 61%, with Bologna on 17% and the draw at 22%.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.9 for Milan and 1.0 for Bologna. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 48%. When they last met, on 3 Feb 2026, AC Milan won 3-0.