Benfica vs Celtic prediction

Benfica have won three, drawn none and lost none of their three UEFA Europa League games so far, scoring 10 and letting in 2. That has them 1st on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, no draws and one defeat, at 2.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Guimaraes 2-0 at home; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Porto and a 2-0 win away at AC Milan.

They have scored in each of their last six. Four clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 1 conceded). D. Banjaqui (muscle injury), E. Barrenechea (injury) and J. Kaminski (muscle injury) are all unavailable.

So far in the UEFA Europa League, Celtic have won none, drawn none and lost three of three, with 3 goals scored and 9 conceded, good for 35th place and 0 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, no draws and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Motherwell 2-0 away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Rangers and a 3-1 defeat at home to Ferencvarosi TC.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won three of four recently (5 scored, 4 conceded). A. Johnston (leg injury), C. Carter-Vickers (health problems) and C. Duran (personal reasons), plus four others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Benfica: Benfica have won two of their last two at home, Celtic three of their last four on the road. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. Benfica also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Benfica clear favourites at 79%, with Celtic on 7% and the draw at 14%.

On goals, it expects around 3.6 in the game: 2.1 for Benfica and 1.5 for Celtic. Over 2.5 goals is 69% and both teams scoring 68%.