Plymouth vs Swindon Town prediction

Plymouth have won one, drawn one and lost none of their two EFL Trophy games so far, scoring 7 and letting in 3. That has them 2nd on 5 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Alvechurch 4-0 at home; before that came a goalless draw at home to Reading and a 3-2 win away at Cambridge.

Plymouth are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won two of four recently (6 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the EFL Trophy, Swindon Town have won none, drawn none and lost two of two, with 1 goals scored and 4 conceded, good for 4th place and 0 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Milton Keynes Dons away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Rotherham and a goalless draw away at Bristol Rvs.

They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between Plymouth's home form and Swindon Town's away form. Five points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Plymouth clear favourites at 66%, with Swindon Town on 16% and the draw at 17%.

On goals, it expects around 3.6 in the game: 2.5 for Plymouth and 1.1 for Swindon Town. Over 2.5 goals is 68% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 20 Sept 2022, Plymouth won 3-1.