Norwich vs Watford prediction

Norwich have won five, drawn none and lost eight of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 24. That has them 15th on 15 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, no draws and five defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Charlton 3-1 away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Portsmouth and a 1-0 defeat at home to Southampton.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 6 conceded). A. Ahmed (knee injury), G. Forsyth (lacking match fitness) and M. Topic (lacking match fitness), plus three others, are all unavailable.

So far in the Championship, Watford have won three, drawn two and lost eight of 13, with 12 goals scored and 23 conceded, good for 21st place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, no draws and five defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Wolverhampton Wanderers away; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Charlton and a 5-1 defeat away at Cardiff.

They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 7 conceded). E. Bove (knee injury), J. Ngakia (thigh injury) and K. Baah (knock), plus two others, are all unavailable.

There isn't much between Norwich's home form and Watford's away form. Four points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Norwich clear favourites at 56%, with Watford on 20% and the draw at 24%.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 2.0 for Norwich and 0.9 for Watford. Over 2.5 goals is 56% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 29 Dec 2025, Watford won 1-0.