Freiburg vs Bayern München prediction

Freiburg have won five, drawn one and lost two of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 18 and letting in 10. That has them 3rd on 16 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Monaco away; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Bayer Leverkusen and a 3-2 win at home to FK Jablonec.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won three of three recently (9 scored, 5 conceded). B. Yilmaz (lacking match fitness) and Y. Engelhardt (injury) both miss out.

So far in the Bundesliga, Bayern München have won five, drawn three and lost none of eight, with 27 goals scored and 8 conceded, good for 1st place and 18 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, three draws and no defeats, averaging 3.7 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Arsenal; before that came a 6-1 win at home to RB Leipzig and a 3-3 draw away at Viking.

Bayern München are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won one of three recently (7 scored, 6 conceded). A. Pavlovic (calf injury), J. Kimmich (personal reasons) and J. Musiala (muscle injury), plus four others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Freiburg: Freiburg have won three of their last three at home, Bayern München one of their last three on the road. Two points separate the two sides in the table. Bayern München also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Bayern München clear favourites at 63%, with Freiburg on 20% and the draw at 17%.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 1.3 for Freiburg and 2.1 for Bayern München. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 61%. When they last met, on 4 Apr 2026, Bayern Munich won 3-2.