Santos vs Palmeiras prediction, 28 October 2026

Santos

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

00Serie A

Palmeiras

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

29.9%Santos

27.6%Draw

42.5%Palmeiras

Double chance

Santos or draw58%

Either team wins72%

Palmeiras or draw70%

1.2Santos2.7expected goals1.5Palmeiras

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.592%8%

1.573%27%

2.549%51%

3.529%71%

4.515%85%

Both teams to score

Yes51%No49%

GG2+

No86%Yes14%

Team total goals

OverSantosPalmeiras

0.568%75%

1.533%43%

2.513%20%

Clean sheet

Santos25%Palmeiras32%

Win to nil

Santos17%Palmeiras24%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw28%

WinsSantosPalmeiras

by 118%21%

by 28%12%

by 3+5%10%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals27%2-3 goals44%4-5 goals22%6+ goals7%

Match preview · Serie A

Santos vs Palmeiras: preview and prediction

28 Oct 2026 · 22:30Estádio Urbano CaldeiraFlavio Rodrigues De Souza

Santos welcome Palmeiras to Estádio Urbano Caldeira in Santos on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 22:30. It's matchday 33 in the Serie A. Santos are 9th after 34 games, while Palmeiras sit 2nd having played 33. Last time out Santos drew 1-1 at home with Bahia, and Palmeiras beat Bragantino 2-0 at home.

The forecast

30%Santos28%Draw42%Palmeiras

Expected goals1.2-1.5Over 2.5 goals49%Both teams score51%

FormPalmeirasHome and awayPalmeirasThe tablePalmeirasGoalsPalmeirasHead to headPalmeirasTeam newsPalmeiras

Santos: form and key numbers

So far in the Serie A, Santos have won 12, drawn 11 and lost 11 of 34, with 50 goals scored and 49 conceded, good for 9th place and 47 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Bahia; before that came a 2-1 win away at Fluminense and a 2-1 defeat away at Atletico-MG.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 3 conceded). Arthur Melo (muscle injury), Gabriel Brazao (shoulder injury) and G. Escobar (inactive), plus four others, are all unavailable.

SantosLast 6 · 3W 2D 1L

25 OctHBahia1-1D
18 OctAFluminense2-1W
11 OctAAtletico-MG1-2L
8 OctHFlamengo RJ2-2D
2 OctASao Paulo2-1W
19 SeptARemo2-1W

1.7scored a game1.3conceded a game1.8points a game

At home · last 2DD

Santos: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Palmeiras: form and key numbers

Palmeiras have won 20, drawn ten and lost three of their 33 Serie A games so far, scoring 56 and letting in 22. That has them 2nd on 70 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, no draws and one defeat, at 1.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Bragantino 2-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Fluminense and a 2-0 win away at Athletico-PR.

Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (4 scored, 1 conceded). Jefte (knee injury), Paulinho (inactive) and R. Sosa (injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

PalmeirasLast 6 · 5W 0D 1L

24 OctHBragantino2-0W
22 OctHFluminense0-1L
17 OctAAthletico-PR2-0W
15 OctAFluminense2-1W
11 OctHCorinthians4-1W
9 OctHBahia1-0W

1.8scored a game0.5conceded a game2.5points a game

Away · last 2WW

Palmeiras: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Santos vs Palmeiras: match analysis

Home and away form points to Palmeiras: Santos have won none of their last two at home, Palmeiras two of their last two on the road. 23 points separate the two sides in the table. Palmeiras also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	33	22	7	4	+40	73
2	Palmeiras	33	20	10	3	+34	70
3	Cruzeiro	33	17	6	10	+6	57
···
8	Bragantino	34	13	8	13	+5	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	+1	47
10	São Paulo	33	12	7	14	0	43

We make Palmeiras favourites at 42%, with Santos on 30% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

Goals, recent and expected

1.7Scored a game1.8
1.3Conceded a game0.5
1.2Expected here (xG)1.5

Over 1.573%Over 2.549%Over 3.529%Both score51%

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.2 for Santos and 1.5 for Palmeiras. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 51%. Their last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished 1-1.

Last meetings