Colegios Diocesanos vs Atlético Mansillés prediction

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Bembibre; before that came a 2-0 defeat at home to Cristo Atlético and a 3-2 defeat away at Turégano.

Colegios Diocesanos haven't won in three. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Villaralbo; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Arandina and a 2-1 defeat at home to Unionistas II.

Atlético Mansillés haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between Colegios Diocesanos's home form and Atlético Mansillés's away form. Atlético Mansillés also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Colegios Diocesanos favourites at 38%, with Atlético Mansillés on 31% and the draw at 31%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Colegios Diocesanos still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.2 for Colegios Diocesanos and 1.2 for Atlético Mansillés. Over 2.5 goals is 43% and both teams scoring 49%.