Asti vs Sanremese prediction

So far in the Serie D - Girone A, Asti have won four, drawn two and lost four of ten, with 11 goals scored and 12 conceded, good for 9th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Fezzanese 2-0 away; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to Borgosesia and a 1-1 draw away at Derthona.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

Sanremese have won three, drawn five and lost two of their ten Serie D - Girone A games so far, scoring 12 and letting in 9. That has them 8th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, three draws and no defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Imperia; before that came a 1-0 win away at Sant'Angelo and a 1-1 draw away at Millesimo.

Sanremese are unbeaten in six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Sanremese: Asti have won one of their last three at home, Sanremese one of their last three on the road. The two sides are level on points. Sanremese also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Asti favourites at 39%, with Sanremese on 32% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Asti still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.3 for Asti and 1.3 for Sanremese. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 53%.