Italy vs Türkiye prediction
Italy
Monday, 5 October 2026
3:1Half time 1 : 0UEFA Nations League
Türkiye
Pre-match prediction
All predictions
Total goals
Both teams to score
GG2+
Team total goals
Clean sheet
Win to nil
Odd or even goals
Winning margin
Total goal bands
Italy vs Türkiye: preview and prediction
Italy welcome Türkiye to Stadio Renato Dall'Ara in Bologna on Monday 5 October, with kick-off at 18:45. It's matchday 4 in the UEFA Nations League. Italy go into it 2nd in the table after four games, with Türkiye 4th. Last time out Italy drew 1-1 at France, and Türkiye were beaten 3-0 at Belgium.
Italy: form and key numbers
So far in the UEFA Nations League, Italy have won two, drawn one and lost one of four, with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded, good for 2nd place and 7 points.
Over the last three matches it has been one win, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with France; before that came a 4-1 win away at Türkiye and a 2-0 defeat at home to Belgium.
- AFrance1-1D
- ATürkiye4-1W
- HBelgium0-2L
Italy: last 3 results in all competitions, newest first.
Türkiye: form and key numbers
Türkiye have won none, drawn none and lost four of their four UEFA Nations League games so far, scoring 2 and letting in 11. That has them 4th on 0 points.
Their last three in all competitions read no wins, no draws and three defeats, at 0.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Belgium away; before that came a 4-1 defeat at home to Italy and a 1-0 defeat at home to France.
Türkiye haven't won in three. They failed to score in two of those games.
- ABelgium0-3L
- HItaly1-4L
- HFrance0-1L
Türkiye: last 3 results in all competitions, newest first.
Italy vs Türkiye: match analysis
Seven points separate the two sides in the table. Italy also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 | Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
We make Italy clear favourites at 62%, with Türkiye on 18% and the draw at 20%.
- 1.70.3
- 1.32.7
- 1.71.1
On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.7 for Italy and 1.1 for Türkiye. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 53%. When they last met, on 28 Sept 2026, Italy won 4-1.
- Türkiye1-4Italy
Backed by form, the table and goal difference.
Every market at a glance
- ResultItaly win62%
- Double chanceItaly or draw82%
- GoalsOver 2.552%
- Both teams to scoreYes53%
- Clean sheetItaly35%
- CornersItaly 5.5 · Türkiye 4.39.8 expected
- Cards4.0 yellows expectedRed 15%
Frequently asked questions
Italy vs Türkiye