Lille vs Troyes prediction

So far in the Ligue 1, Lille have won five, drawn three and lost one of nine, with 12 goals scored and 6 conceded, good for 2nd place and 18 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Real Betis at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at Toulouse and a 2-2 draw at home to Paris Saint-Germain.

They have scored in each of their last four. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 7 conceded).

Troyes have won two, drawn two and lost five of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 7 and letting in 16. That has them 16th on 8 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 6-2 to Strasbourg at home; before that came a 2-1 win away at Lorient and a goalless draw at home to Paris FC.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Troyes: Lille have won none of their last three at home, Troyes two of their last three on the road. Ten points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Lille clear favourites at 70%, with Troyes on 11% and the draw at 19%.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 2.1 for Lille and 1.0 for Troyes. Over 2.5 goals is 61% and both teams scoring 56%. Their last meeting, on 3 Jun 2023, finished 1-1.