Vitória vs Chapecoense prediction

So far in the Serie A, Vitória have won ten, drawn eight and lost 15 of 33, with 35 goals scored and 48 conceded, good for 14th place and 38 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Cruzeiro at home; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Mirassol and a 1-0 win at home to Gremio.

They have scored in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of four recently (3 scored, 5 conceded).

Chapecoense have won four, drawn nine and lost 19 of their 32 Serie A games so far, scoring 32 and letting in 66. That has them 20th on 21 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Atletico Nacional; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Atletico-MG and a 2-1 defeat at home to Internacional.

Chapecoense haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. On the road they've won one of four recently (5 scored, 6 conceded).

There isn't much between Vitória's home form and Chapecoense's away form. 17 points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Vitória favourites at 51%, with Chapecoense on 22% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.7 for Vitória and 1.1 for Chapecoense. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 53%. Their last meeting, on 5 Apr 2026, finished 1-1.