Firpo vs Deportivo Saprissa prediction

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, two draws and no defeats, at 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Inca Aruba 2-0 at home; before that came a 3-2 win away at Municipal Limeño and a 2-2 draw at home to Alianza.

Firpo are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 2 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, no draws and four defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to CS Cartagines away; before that came a 6-0 win at home to Sporting San Jose and a 1-0 defeat away at Escorpiones Belén.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of four recently (4 scored, 9 conceded).

Home and away form points to Firpo: Firpo have won two of their last three at home, Deportivo Saprissa none of their last four on the road. Firpo also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Deportivo Saprissa favourites at 44%, with Firpo on 33% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Deportivo Saprissa still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.9 for Firpo and 1.2 for Deportivo Saprissa. Over 2.5 goals is 56% and both teams scoring 53%.