Plymouth vs Alvechurch prediction

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Reading; before that came a 3-2 win away at Cambridge and a 3-0 defeat away at Stevenage.

They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 3 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, four draws and no defeats, at 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Leiston 3-1 away; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Anstey Nomads and a 4-4 draw away at Stratford Town.

Alvechurch are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of four recently (11 scored, 9 conceded).

There isn't much between Plymouth's home form and Alvechurch's away form. Alvechurch also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Plymouth favourites at 47%, with Alvechurch on 33% and the draw at 21%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Plymouth still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 1.8 for Plymouth and 1.5 for Alvechurch. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 61%.