Uxbridge vs Hanwell Town prediction

So far in the Non League Premier - Southern South, Uxbridge have won ten, drawn three and lost two of 15, with 29 goals scored and 12 conceded, good for 1st place and 33 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Poole Town; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Plymouth Parkway and a 2-0 win at home to Yate Town.

They have scored in each of their last six. Four clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 0 conceded).

Hanwell Town have won four, drawn five and lost six of their 15 Non League Premier - Southern South games so far, scoring 20 and letting in 22. That has them 13th on 17 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, no draws and four defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Evesham United 2-1 at home; before that came a 3-0 defeat away at Poole Town and a 3-2 defeat away at Gosport Borough.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to Uxbridge: Uxbridge have won two of their last two at home, Hanwell Town none of their last two on the road. 16 points separate the two sides in the table. Uxbridge also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Uxbridge clear favourites at 55%, with Hanwell Town on 22% and the draw at 23%.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 2.2 for Uxbridge and 1.1 for Hanwell Town. Over 2.5 goals is 60% and both teams scoring 56%.