Las Rozas vs Torrejón prediction

Las Rozas have won five, drawn two and lost two of their nine Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 games so far, scoring 20 and letting in 15. That has them 4th on 17 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Fuenlabrada away; before that came a 4-3 win at home to Alcobendas Sport and a 1-1 draw away at Colonia Moscardó.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. At home they've won three of three recently (11 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17, Torrejón have won four, drawn one and lost four of nine, with 15 goals scored and 8 conceded, good for 16th place and 13 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 2.2 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they beat Real Aranjuez 4-1 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Pozuelo Alarcón and a 4-0 win at home to Parla Escuela.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Las Rozas: Las Rozas have won three of their last three at home, Torrejón none of their last two on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Torrejón also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Las Rozas favourites at 44%, with Torrejón on 27% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.5 for Las Rozas and 1.2 for Torrejón. Over 2.5 goals is 50% and both teams scoring 54%.