Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Manchester City have won seven, drawn none and lost two of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 20 and letting in 10. That has them 2nd on 21 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 2.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Brighton & Hove Albion; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Aston Villa and a 5-1 win at home to AEK.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. At home they've won two of four recently (12 scored, 9 conceded). A. Semenyo (knee injury) and M. Nunes (knock) both miss out.

So far in the Premier League, Brighton & Hove Albion have won six, drawn one and lost two of nine, with 24 goals scored and 7 conceded, good for 3rd place and 19 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Manchester City; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Liverpool and a goalless draw away at FK Jablonec.

Brighton & Hove Albion haven't won in three. Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of four recently (4 scored, 4 conceded). C. Andres (muscle injury), E. Ferguson (ankle injury) and F. Azeez (abdominal strain), plus five others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Manchester City: Manchester City have won two of their last four at home, Brighton & Hove Albion one of their last four on the road. Two points separate the two sides in the table. Brighton & Hove Albion also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Manchester City clear favourites at 60%, with Brighton & Hove Albion on 18% and the draw at 22%.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.9 for Manchester City and 1.2 for Brighton & Hove Albion. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 58%. Their last meeting, on 28 Oct 2026, finished 2-2.