NEC vs Sittard prediction

So far in the Eredivisie, NEC have won two, drawn five and lost four of 11, with 17 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 13th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, four draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Levski Sofia; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Ajax and a 1-1 draw at home to Go Ahead Eagles.

NEC are unbeaten in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 4 conceded). A. Thomas (inactive), B. Nuytinck (ankle injury) and D. Tadic (injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Sittard have won five, drawn four and lost two of their 11 Eredivisie games so far, scoring 18 and letting in 18. That has them 6th on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Twente; before that came a 2-1 win away at Genk and a 1-0 win away at Willem II.

Sittard are unbeaten in three. They have scored in each of their last six. On the road they've won four of four recently (9 scored, 5 conceded). I. Marquez (injury), J. Dahlhaus (inactive) and R. Bayram (knee injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Sittard: NEC have won none of their last three at home, Sittard four of their last four on the road. Eight points separate the two sides in the table. Sittard also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make NEC clear favourites at 57%, with Sittard on 23% and the draw at 20%. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, NEC still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 1.9 for NEC and 1.4 for Sittard. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 60%. When they last met, on 28 Feb 2026, For Sittard won 3-2.