SL Benfica vs Vitória prediction

So far in the Primeira Liga, SL Benfica have won eight, drawn one and lost one of ten, with 27 goals scored and 8 conceded, good for 2nd place and 25 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, no draws and one defeat, averaging 2.5 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Porto away; before that came a 2-0 win away at AC Milan and a 3-1 win at home to Gil Vicente.

They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

Vitória have won two, drawn three and lost five of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 10 and letting in 10. That has them 13th on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Moreirense; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Academico Viseu and a goalless draw at home to Casa Pia.

Vitória haven't won in four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to SL Benfica: SL Benfica have won two of their last two at home, Vitória none of their last three on the road. 16 points separate the two sides in the table. SL Benfica also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make SL Benfica clear favourites at 83%, with Vitória on 5% and the draw at 12%.

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 2.7 for SL Benfica and 0.8 for Vitória. Over 2.5 goals is 68% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 21 Mar 2026, Benfica won 3-0.